Chase Update

For a while it looked like I was going to chase this weekend. However, as the models continuted to crank out data, the data became less and less favorable for a chase. If this event were closer to home, or earlier in the season, I might go. I don't doubt that there will be a tornado or two somewhere in the vicinity of central NE, but, there are just too many downsides to the chase. While the atmosphere will be strongly unstable, and very weakly capped, there may not be enough forcing for storms to form. It is a ten hour drive to the target area for a very uncertain convective situation. At this point, I would rather wait for a more favorable system to chase. There will be more tornados this year and at least a few more chases. One of them will not be this weekend however.